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  • Buy and hold is dead. It's over. Game, set, match. Trend followers were the only ones who made money in the greatest market melt down since the Great Depression. Do you know how they did it? Michael Covel

Compounding Trend Following Trading

Michael Covel (March 25, 2005)

Nothing is unknown, just temporarily not understood.
Captain James T. Kirk

There is only one way to profit in the market. You must apply a systematic approach over time, compounding as you go. Don't be so naive to expect you will get rich overnight. Remind yourself that patience is a virtue when it comes to trend following. You must have the discipline to work within the structure of your system. For example, if you can manage to make 50% a year in your trading, you can grow an initial $20,000 account to over $616,000 in just seven years. Trust that time and the power of compounding will take over if you stick with your system. You think 50% is too unrealistic for you? Do the math again using 25%. In other words, compounding is essential.

Hypothetical investment of $20,000 (annual rates of return compounded)

30% 40% 50%
Year 1
$26,897 $29,642 $32,641
Year 2
$36,174 $43,933 $53,274
Year 3
$48,650 $65,115 $86,949
Year 4
$65,429 $96,509 $141,909
Year 5
$87,995 $143,039 $231,609
Year 6
$118,344 $212,002 $378,008
Year 7
$159,160 $314,214 $616,944

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About Michael Covel

Michael Covel is an author, director and entrepreneur who founded the internationally known website TurtleTrader® in 1996. Covel's first book was the bestselling "Trend Following" (FT Press, Apr. 04, Nov. 05, Feb. 07 & Feb. 09). His second book "The Complete TurtleTrader" (HarperCollins, Oct. 2007 & Feb. 09) is the definitive inside look at legendary trader Richard Dennis and his student traders "The Turtles". In 2009 Covel released "Broke: The New American Dream" a film documentary investigating the 2007-2009 market crisis and crash. Not afraid of a crowd or controversy, Covel is known for engaging and provocative speeches presented to audiences in Tokyo, Paris, Macau (China), Vienna (Austria), Hong Kong, Dallas, Miami and São Paulo (Brazil). He has been quoted and interviewed by likes of The Wall Street Journal, Barrons, New York Post, Globe and Mail and Bloomberg.

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