First time visitor? Click here. | Login | Register

Send to Friend

FromTo

Captcha
This question is used to make sure you are a human visitor and to prevent spam submissions.
Copy the characters (respecting upper/lower case) from the image.

Send to Friend from TurtleTrader

Bell Curve and Outliers

Michael Covel (March 28, 2005)

Why have the successful Trend Followers grown from one man shops to large firms that beat Wall Street powerhouses routinely? Why did Wall Street allow originally no name traders, true outsiders, entry into the marketplace to dominate arenas they could have easily controlled? The answer lies in Wall Street's fascination with averages.

Large established firms describe their success with measures of central tendency. These large firms have evolved to the point where an average measure (mean) and the variation from that average are the core focus of their operations. They are beholden to the masses (the very people that make up the middle and invest with their firms) and thinking in terms of outliers (trend following traders) is not plausible.

What do we mean exactly? The majority are comfortable with averages in return. They want consistency, not necessarily great returns. Consistency will hover in the middle of the bell curve. Of course, this allows great opportunity to exist in the outliers (or the edge of the bell curve). The will to stick with trend following strategies (and stay at the edges of the bell curve) is the core of success.

amazon.com

Complete TurtleTrader
Order now!

The Complete Turtle story. Legend, lessons & results.

amazon.com

Trend Following
Order now!

Now available: the new expanded edition. Order online today.

Get started

If you would like to find articles by category simply choose from the list below.

  • Market Wizards Ken Tropin

    The basic trading strategy that all trend followers try to systematize is to "cut losses" and "let profits run". (Read more)

Meet Michael Covel

Blog | Read bio