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Warren Buffett Offers Stock Tips

Michael Covel (February 16, 2005)

Warren Buffett Offers Stock Tips

Warren Buffett is now offering stock tips:

OMAHA, Neb. (Reuters) - Warren Buffett, the billionaire investor, tipped two stocks he has been buying recently, and indicated that he would be interested in buying firms overseas if the chance came up. Buffett praised rating firm Moody's Corp. and tax preparer H&R Block at a media conference in Omaha, Nebraska, on Sunday, the day after the annual meeting of his insurance and investment firm Berkshire Hathaway Inc.. They are both very good franchises, said Buffett, who bought sizable minority stakes in both firms over the past year or so. They require little or no capital and earn good returns on capital employed. He added that both had good competitive advantages and little threat to their business, meeting some of the legendary investors' key criteria in buying stocks or companies. The stock recommendation is a rarity for Buffett, as he is currently pessimistic about good investing opportunities in the stock market.

Questions for Buffett:

  1. How much of Moody's and H&R Block do you buy?
  2. Do you hold it until death?
  3. When would you ever sell it?

Our point? Tips are useless. Where is the money management? There is none. Buffett's tip is no different than any other talking head at CNBC.

Reality

Confronting reality — a prerequisite for trend following — requires you to know yourself. You must know what you really stand for.

Q. I have heard that Trend Following results in many small losing trades and fewer big winning trades. The process is therefore very taxing psychologically. Is this true?
A. How is Trend Following more taxing psychologically than being in the middle of a buy and hold strategy (which is essentially no plan) and down 70%+ (like the Nasdaq)? Trend Following gives one a plan and an understanding where profits come from. It's not just built on 'hope', 'fear' and 'greed' or as we like the to say the three words that define investing for most market losers.

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Michael Covel is an author, director and entrepreneur who founded the internationally known website TurtleTrader® in 1996. Covel's first book was the bestselling "Trend Following" (FT Press, Apr. 04, Nov. 05, Feb. 07 & Feb. 09). His second book "The Complete TurtleTrader" (HarperCollins, Oct. 2007 & Feb. 09) is the definitive inside look at legendary trader Richard Dennis and his student traders "The Turtles". In 2009 Covel released "Broke: The New American Dream" a film documentary investigating the 2007-2009 market crisis and crash. Not afraid of a crowd or controversy, Covel is known for engaging and provocative speeches presented to audiences in Tokyo, Paris, Macau (China), Vienna (Austria), Hong Kong, Dallas, Miami and São Paulo (Brazil). He has been quoted and interviewed by likes of The Wall Street Journal, Barrons, New York Post, Globe and Mail and Bloomberg.

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